WEATHERING STORM OF AUTOMATION
Some people in the West say that when the fourth-
generation industrial revolution comes, China's
manufacturing industry that dominates the world will
collapse. Then, China best starts the fifth-generation
industrial revolution right now!
What's it all that ruckus about: censoring Huawei by
America and Google by China, American sanctions on
North Korea, Iran and Venezuela, and the trade war
between America and China? Well, it's about opposing
factions trying to either monopolize or publicize the
coming of automation. The former aims at turning the
mass into a herd of sheep, and the latter, weathering
the storm of automation.
On this 10/1/2019, the first day of countdown toward
the 10/1/2020, the Day of Reckoning,卧薪尝胆， we
shall face squarely the challenge, opportunity and
danger of the coming mile-stone in humanity's destiny.
That is the era of automation.
Implicit in the Sino-America trade war is the struggle
between the two factions, representing respectively,
the privatization of automation and the publicization of
automation. America wants to capitalize automation
via capturing the telecomputing industry for the rich
and powerful "1%" , . China, on the other hand, is
struggling to open up it to the other the endangered
"99%".
Ironically, one of the root causes that America used to
justify the trade war regarding its own slow rise in
productivity in comparison to China is exactly because
the privatization-oriented monopoly on automation by
companies like Google, Amazon and Facebook is
choking innovation in America. The publicization of
automation by China has encouraged an environment
of innovation.
Thus far, the leaders of the world have kept this contest
on automation a secret from the potential wrath of the
lynching mob, that is the mass labor force being
victimized by the robots and artificial intelligence that
are being created to displace them. Our writing here is
to blow this secret out in the open, before it blows up
on its own, violently.
Time is critical. Shall the 1% reaches the critical mass of
automation that could make it run automatically, the 99%
will only have two options: living as sheep or butchered
in the slaughter house. So, we need to wake up people
of the world to demand that all things automatic should
be in the public hands!
Mao Zedong started as China's head of the beggars'
guild of starving farmers, willing to beg for their meager
livelihood, but planning for the day that all things will
be in the public hands. After Mao died, only the very
top leaders, except maybe one, stayed on the track that
Mao laid out for China and the world, but the rest of
China joined the material party thrown by America. So,
did the rest of the world.
When the America's regime change scheme at China's
power headquarter, Tiananmen Square, backfired in
1989, the last surviving supercomputer group in China
managed to break America's sanction and embarked on
a mission to surpass America.
Speed is what it takes to pass. And computer speed
represents a country's speed. By the time, China built
its world's fastest supercomputer Tianhe-1 in 2008,
China was able to launch its first speed train, and the
trains took China passed America in infrastructure. As
the new No.1 in computing, the Tianhe and other
supercomputers that followed, took the aerospace,
telecommunication, energy and weapon industries to
the forefront of the technology race. China has
essentially established a firm base to win this contest of
automation, however unknowingly.
Ren Zheng Fei, a self-appointed successor to Mao's
conviction to public automation, fired the first shot with
his dominating weapon, 5G, to win the automation
contest. At the same time, Xi Jing-ping, the head of
China, demonstrated his commitment to public
automation by bringing down some of the most
powerful oligarchies in China, in the major industry such
as the speed train, petroleum and e-commerce. Xi also
took a big stride into the largest connected mass on the
globe with a Belt Road Initiative, to virtually signaling
that public automation is coming.
On the surface, it appears the stage is set for the public
automation faction to win. But one problem is that
only the private automation America is knowingly
fighting that war by way of a trade war. This does serve
to wake China up to fight back. But China, based on the
past two centuries of humiliation by the West, can only
see as far as the threat of WWIII.
Still, China is staying fast and firm, and won't budge an
inch. This gives us some wiggling room to sneak into
the minds of the mass, the notion of public automation,
in order to prevent WWIII.
Let me pause briefly to present the latest understanding
of automation. It means the automation of the
production and distribution of all the basic necessities.
The Japanese tried in the early 80's. They had a plan to
automate 10% the production, and displace 2% of the
labor force annually. After four decades of automation,
they should, by now, all be able to playing pingpong or
something that they prefer over work, but they didn't.
Why?
It's because they based everything on hardware
automation, which, unlike software automation, cannot
accelerate the productivity to the point that all labor
works could be done instantaneous. You see, in my
own software automation research and development,
we have demonstrated this capability.
Let's take the non-trivial example of computer modeling
of a nuclear space reactor for President Ronald
Reagan's Star War, Sp100, and also that for Jupiter
Exploration, Jimo. In about four months, we speed up a
6-man, 6 month manual modelling effort, to one-man,
one week for the first cut of the Sp100 for General
Electric Company. Then for the Jimo modelling project
at Lockheed Martin, in two weeks time we reduced to
time to within a day. What this exercise showed is that,
in software modelling, which in itself is one step up in
automation from hardware construction of ,say
mechanical robots, we increase the productivity of an
engineer 6x6x30 = 1080 times, or 1079 engineers can go
play pingpong, rather than work on their jobs.
Thus, for the fifth industrial revolution, we shall start
our technical effort from software. We will automate
software first. For example, we need to develop
programming software that is capable of writing all
other software. Plus, we need do it collectively by
everyone well versed in the particular fields. This
means everything has to be in natural language that
uses the intrinsic intelligence of the computer. And also,
the process of writing, or explicitly the interactions
between computer and its users, be dynamically
recorded into playable documentations, that could act
like robots, performing the jobs verbatim on their own.
They are, therefore, called "software robots".
How much work is that? And is that even possible?
The answer is "too much!". And it's only possible if the
cash flow is "sky's the limit", like in nuclear safety and
design projects.
That's how, in the 1980's, the Nuclear Engineering
Department of the University of California at Berkeley
and the Boeing Supercomputer Center did just that.
The end product was a priceless software automation
package, named ROBACUS.
And to this day, we have left it price-less, having no
copyrights, also no patents, furthermore, no intellectual
property to claim for, and even designated authorless,
in anticipation of this publicization of the automation
era.
The most important factor for success of the
development of ROBACUS in the supercomputing
center of Boeing was that it's done in a centralized
computing environment. Once the computer's
intelligence is imbedded in the natural language
interface, the vast community of surrounding users
would become the actual authors, though
unsuspectingly, of the resulting software automation
package.
ROBACUS will serve as the backbone of the following:
UNIVERSAL COMPUTING INTERFACE
The criteria and goals of the Universal Computing
Interface (UCI) are:
1. Ownerless
2. Native-language interface
3. Self-expanding to full automation
4. Teaching math skills to train next-generation
compute operating system support group
5. Removing obstacle of expenses in intermediate
computing tools by going directly to final products
6. Keep automation in the hands of the public
The initiating task is to demonstrate how school kids
could use UCI's engine, ROBACUS, to solve math
problems in their math classes. The first problem is the
turtle-rabbit problem. The second problem is the ball-
drop problem. Then demonstrations on how to
schedule projects, draw truth diagrams, control
inventories, derive Einstein's equation of E=MC**2 and
even do IQ tests.
Concurrent to the problem solving by natural language
programming, UCI generate playable software robots,
which is just the verbatim recording of the interaction
between the users and computer in the writing and
using of software.
The accumulation of software robots in time will enable
UCI to solve all the problems in the world on its own.
Thus, UCI will not only familiarize the kids a new
simpler and more powerful computing interface than
the existing Windows and Apple operating system, but
also train their minds to think as logically as the
computer, with the potential of solving any problem in
the world.
As the brainchild of the combination of the collective
intelligence of all the people and the rigorous logic of
the flawless computer, UCI will become the custodian of
sensibility and harmony for humanity.
Being the most intelligent entity in the world, and
authorless, which means it belong to all the people of
the world, UCI will be the ultimate infrastructure that
will enable humanity to solve all our materialistic
problems, thus ushering in a new benevolent era of
automation.
In conclusion, the specific action plan for this
publicization of automation consists of the following
major tasks:
1. Set up a pilot program for knowledge farming in
America.
2. Test out computer-aided math learning in rural
China.
3. Train a support team for ROBACUS.
4. Offer ROBACUS on the Tianhe supercomputer
centers.
征服自动化海啸
西方有人说，当第四代工业革命来临时，中国称霸世
界的制造工业就会垮掉。那中国不如现在就开始去搞
第五代工业革命吧！
关于以下的冲突:美国对朝鲜，伊朗和委内瑞拉的制
裁，以及中美之间的贸易战，他们在争什么？ 这是
在争如何欢迎接自动化的到来？靠垄断，还是走大众
化。前者旨在将群众变成羊群，后者旨在度过自动化
的风暴。
今天2019年10月1日，是2020年10月1日倒计
时的第一天，那天是"大清算日"，或亚洲对美国的
"卧薪尝胆日"。在这一年内，我们将直接面对即将
到来的人类命运里程碑的挑战，机遇和危机。那就是
如何征服自动化带来的海啸。
在中美贸易战中隐含着两个派系之间的斗争，分别代
表自动化的私有化和自动化的公众化。美国希望 为世
界那批" 1％"的富裕和强势少数人，通过垄断电信计
算机技术，来私有化自动化行业。中国，相反的，正
在努力将其开放，情愿保护他那" 99％"的濒危群众。
在这一点，具有讽刺意味的是，美国所用来证明贸易
战根本原因是其自身的生产率的增长比中国缓慢。但
那恰恰是因为谷歌，亚马逊和Facebook等公司对自
动化的私有化的垄断正在扼杀美国的创新潜力。
迄今为止，世界各国领导人将这场自动化的竞赛保持
为他们私下的秘密，以防群众对此的愤怒。那就是，
大量劳工将被机器人和人工智能所取代。我们这里的
写作是在揭露这个秘密， 以免它将来造成不可收拾的
灾难。
在这方面时间是很关键的。如果那1％的人首先达到
了可以使其自动运行临界的自动化水平，那么那99％
的人将只有两种选择：以羊群为生，或被彻底淘汰。
因此，我们需要唤醒世界各地的人们，要求将所有自
动的技术都掌握在公众手中！
毛泽东最初也是这样做的。他以丐帮帮主的身份，愿
为饥饿的农民乞求一点微薄的生计。但他长远的计划
是把所有的生产力都交到公众手中。当毛泽东去世后，
中国最高领导人，仍然继承了毛泽东为中国乃至世界
所谋划的道路上。但中国很多的其余单位却加入了美
国发起的资本主义。而世界其他地区也多半是如此。
1989年，当美国在中国权力总部，天安门广场，的政
权更迭计划适得其反时，中国最后一个幸存的超级计
算机集团，贸然而出地，设法破了美国当时的制裁，
并开动了超越美国的困难任务。
速度是超越的前提。计算机速度代表一个国家的速度。
幸好那时中国在2008年建造了世界上最快的超级计
算机"天河1号"。因而中国得以开发第一条高铁，以
后这些高铁的快速发展使中国的基础设施超过了美国。
作为计算领域的新领头，天河和随后的其他超级计算
机将航空，航天，电信，能源和武器工业带入了世界
科技竞赛的最前锋。无论如何，中国在本质上已经奠
定了赢得这场自动化竞赛的坚实基础。
华为的任正非是毛泽东对共产自动化的坚定的继承者，
他用他的主导武器5G开了第一炮，赢得了自动化开
赛的第一步。同时，习近平在高铁，石油和电信商务
等主要行业中解雇了一些中国最强大的寡头，表明了
他对共产自动化的信念与承诺。习近平还通过``一带
一路''的倡议迈进了全球最大国家级的互联团队。这
些举动实际上表明了共产自动化的到来。
从表面上来看，似乎共产自动化派队已赢得了胜利的
舞台。但是一个问题是，中国自己不知道。只有美国
的私人自动化派队才知道要通过贸易战来赢那场战争。
这确实有助于唤醒中国进行反击。但是，基于西方过
去给了中国两个世纪的屈辱，中国更看到的是第三次
世界大战的威胁。
尽管如此，中国仍然保持着快速而坚定和永不屈服的
态度。这为我们提供了在大众的脑海中一个空间，可
让我们潜入做点活动，以防止贸易战扩展到第三次世
界大战。
让我首先简短地介绍一下自动化的最新定义。我们所
指的自动化意味着那生产和分配一切基本必需品的自
动化。日本人在80年代初期已尝试过。他们有一项计
划，要使10％的生产自动化，并每年更换掉2％的劳
动力。经过40年的自动化，他们的劳工们现在应该
都可去打乒乓球或比工作更有趣的玩意儿。但事实并
非如此。为什么？
这是因为它们一切都基于硬件方面的自动化，那是永
远需要劳工和时间。与软件自动化不同，硬件自动化
无法将生产率提高到可以立即完成所有劳动的程度。
而在我的软件自动团队自己的研究和开发中，我们已
经证实了"即时完成"的功能。
让我们以美国里根总统《星球大战》的太空原子炉
SP100，和木星探索的太空核反应堆JIMO的电脑计算
为例。在大约四个月的时间里，我们将耗时6人，6
个月的手工建模工作加快到一个人，一周的时间，以
完成通用电气公司SP100的计算机模型。然后，在洛
克希德*马丁公司的JIMO建模项目中，我们在两周
的时间内将时间减少到一天之内。
此两软件自动化项目显示的是，我们将工程师的生产
率提高了6x6x30 = 1080倍，或者1079名工程师可以
去打乒乓，而不需在岗位上工作。
在软件建模中，甚至从硬件机器人的构造的角度来看，
软件建模本应是自动化的最先起步，去建立所有自动
化项目的基础。
因此，这次的第五代工业革命，我们将从软件开始。
我们将首先把软件作业自动化。例如，我们需要开发
能够编写所有其他软件的编程软件。此外，我们需要
由精通特定领域的所有人集体参与。这意味着一切都
必须使用那，拥有计算机固有智能的，自然语言。而
且，那编写过程，或计算机与用户之间的交互，将动
态型地记录到可再次执行的文档中，这些文档可像机
器人一样，自行完成工作。因此它们将被称为软件机
器人。
那是需要多少工作？那甚至有可能吗？
答案是"太多了！"。而且只有在现金流达到"无限
制"时才有可能，例如在核安全和设计项目中。
就在1980年代，加利福尼亚大学伯克利分校的核工
系和波音飞机公司的超级计算机中心正是这样做了。
最终产品是那无价之宝 -- 软件自动化程序包，"电算
盘"。直到今天，由于期待自动化时代的到来，我们
已经真的把它定为"物价"-- 既没有版权，甚至被指
定为无作者。
在波音超级计算中心成功开发电算盘的最重要因素是，
它是在一个集中式计算环境中完成的。一旦将计算机
的智能嵌入自然语言界面中，周围广大的用户社区将
成为最终软件自动化程序包的真正作者，尽管它们是
毫不知情的。
电算盘将作为以下项目的骨干：
通用计算机界面
通用计算机界面（通计界面）（Universal
Computing Interface（UCI））的标准和目标是：
1.属于全人类
2.用母语和计算机界面
3.自我扩展到完全自动化
4.用计算机来做数学，以此引进下一代全新的计算操
作系统
5.直接生产最终产品，当计算工具的费用障碍已被消
除
6.将所有自动化的产权保持在公众手中
我们最初的任务是教学生如何使用"通计界面"里的引
擎，电算盘，来解决数学问题。 第一个演示问题可谓
"龟兔赛跑"问题。 第二个问题是"球落地的计算"问题。
然后可演示如何安排时间表，绘制是否图，控制库存，
推导出爱因斯坦的E = MC ** 2等式，甚至做智商测
试。
在自然语言编程解决问题的同时，"通计界面"也会生
产能做解决同样问题的软件机器人，这只需要把用户
和计算机之间交互的逐字记录下来。 软件机器人的及
时积累将使"通计界面"在不久将来能够自己解决世界
上的所有问题。
因此，"通计界面"不仅会让学生们熟悉比现有的
Windows和Apple操作系统更简单，更强大的计算
界面，而且还会培养他们的思维与计算机一样可靠的
逻辑思考，并有潜力有一天去解决世界上任何问题。
作为所有人的集体智慧的最终产品和拥有完美计算机
的严谨逻辑，"通计界面"将成为人类基本感性与和谐
的守护者。
作为世界上最聪明的实体，而且它属于世界上所有人，
"通计界面"将成为人类解决所有物质问题的终极基础
设施，从而开创一个新的自动化时代。
总之，此次自动化宣传的具体行动计划包括以下主要
任务：
1.建立美国知识农业试点计划。
2.测试中国农村地区的计算机辅助数学学习。
3.训练电算盘支持团队。
4.在天河超级计算机中心上提供电算盘。